From Monday, the law will change, and all of the COVID restrictions will cease to exist - UK Freedom Day 2021. A bit like Christmas Day,...

Our new research, which we did for the Guardian, estimates that 1 in 5 people in England has had Covid-19.

One in five people in England may have had Covid-19, our new modelling suggests, equivalent to 12.4 million people.

Nationally the numbers of people testing positive for Covid-19 and hospital admissions for people with Covid-19 are around the levels seen j

The question everyone is wondering is whether we will get to have Christmas lunch together without breaking the law.

The announcement on Saturday that England will re-enter a lockdown on Thursday (subject to a vote) came as a non-surprise to anyone watching

Safely opening up the skies is a fundamental pillar of the nation’s economic recovery. Yet worryingly, the UK is being held back from reduci

Press release on airport testing modelling

Today there were 143 reported deaths, which is on a par with the numbers on the 23rd/24th of March - the date of the last national lockdown.

Flattening Covid-19 cases last week was an error. The Excel file ran out of columns. So there was a spike of +22,000 cases yesterday

There were less than 1,000 positive Covid-19 cases per day over the summer. In September this jumped to nearly 3,000 per day, it is now near

Understanding the risks of the second wave of Covid-19 on the NHS

The number of people waiting more than 52 weeks has increased (see chart below) - from 1,613 in Feb to 26,029 in May (x16)

Why we need Pillar 2 testing data to be shared to help stop local outbreaks

Covid-19 has gone down a lot. The estimated number of infections in London are less than 1,000 compared to +1 million i

This modelling and the results below were undertaken for Channel 4 Dispatches "Coronavirus Did the Government Get It Wrong?", which was aire

England has been in lockdown for nearly nine weeks. The rules, which are now being relaxed, have placed pressure on both the economy and ind