Press coverage of Edge Health’s work of the impact of Covid-19 on the NHS

March 19, 2020 • Reading time 5 minutes

This is a short summary of the media coverage of our work on the impact of Covid-19 on the NHS. For any enquiries please contact George on 07980804956 or [email protected]

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1. Hospitals Could need 7.5 times the number of critical care beds to treat virus patients – The Telegraph (15/03/20), George Batchelor

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/hospitals-could-need-75-times-number-critical-care-beds-treat/

“In our modelling, which is based on a degree of uncertainty in a rapidly evolving situation, the growth of confirmed cases in the UK could peak at 3.7 million in May if left unchecked.”

2.How huge regional differences in intensive care bed numbers threaten coronavirus postcode lottery – The Telegraph (19/03/20), Paul Nuki

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/huge-regional-differences-intensive-care-bed-numbers-threaten/

“The modelling has been done by Edge Health, a leading provider of data analysis to many of the country’s 206 hospital trusts. It was the same company that calculated a 7.5 times shortage in critical care beds last week, prompting the health secretary to charge industry with urgently making more ventilators.”

3. Revealed: huge regional variation in NHS’ ability to meet coronavirus demand – HSJ (19/03/20), George Batchelor

https://www.hsj.co.uk/quality-and-performance/revealed-huge-regional-variation-in-nhs-ability-to-meet-coronavirus-demand/7027153.article

“New research from Edge Health shows that London is better prepared than other regions to cope with Covid-19, but all regions will face substantial pressures in coming weeks, writes George Batchelor”

4. BBC Today Programme (19/03/20 – 1:43:49)

“Analysis by Edge Health, which advises NHS Trusts in England suggests that the largest shortfall of hospital beds is in the Midlands. The research also reveals that the Southwest, which has the oldest population and the highest expected mortality rate has the fewest number of critical care beds per head in the population”

5. Hospitals outside London in danger of being overwhelmed in major coronavirus outbreak – The Telegraph (18/03/20), Bill Gardner, Paul Nuki

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/03/18/hospitals-outside-london-danger-overwhelmed-major-coronavirus/

“According to the new analysis, produced by Edge Health – which advises NHS trusts across England – London is better prepared than other regions to cope with coronavirus, although the capital will also face substantial pressures.”

6. Coronavirus in UK latest as ventilator shortfall revealed – Nottingham Post (19/03/20), Neil Shaw

https://www.nottinghampost.com/news/uk-world-news/coronavirus-uk-latest-ventilator-shortfall-3963479

“Analysis from Edge Health suggested the NHS will face substantial pressures on critical care beds as the outbreak continues.

According to their modelling, there will be a shortfall of 2,900 beds in the Midlands at “peak Covid-19 ventilator demand”, while the south west has the fewest critical care beds and will need a 600% increase, or 1,900, to meet demand.”

7. Emergency coronavirus legislation to be published ahead of school closures – The Gazette (19/03/20), Press Association 2020

https://www.the-gazette.co.uk/news/national-news/18316152.emergency-coronavirus-legislation-published-ahead-school-closures/

“Analysis from Edge Health suggested the NHS will face substantial pressures on critical care beds as the outbreak continues.

According to their modelling, there will be a shortfall of 2,900 beds in the Midlands at “peak Covid-19 ventilator demand”, while the south west has the fewest critical care beds and will need a 600% increase, or 1,900, to meet demand.”

8. New coronavirus laws to be released today ahead of ‘lockdown’ – Metro (19/03/20), Zoe Drewett

https://metro.co.uk/2020/03/19/coronavirus-uk-emergency-legislation-published-today-schools-close-12421931/

“Analysis from Edge Health suggested the NHS will face substantial pressures on critical care beds as the outbreak continues. According to their modelling, there will be a shortfall of 2,900 beds in the Midlands at ‘peak Covid-19 ventilator demand’, while the south west has the fewest critical care beds and will need a 600% increase, or 1,900, to meet demand.”

9. Coronavirus in Leeds: Emergency Covid-19 legislation to be published ahead of school closures – Yorkshire Evening Post (19/03/20), Joe Cooper

https://www.yorkshireeveningpost.co.uk/health/coronavirus-leeds-emergency-covid-19-legislation-be-published-ahead-school-closures-2501313

“Analysis from Edge Health suggested the NHS will face substantial pressures on critical care beds as the outbreak continues. According to their modelling, there will be a shortfall of 2,900 beds in the Midlands at “peak Covid-19 ventilator demand”, while the south west has the fewest critical care beds and will need a 600% increase, or 1,900, to meet demand.”

10. Low on air: hospitals could run out of oxygen in ‘hours not days’ as coronavirus spreads, intensive care specialist warns – The Sun (16/03/20), Robert Mann

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/health-news/11180083/hospitals-run-out-oxygen-coronavirus-nhs/

“Hopefully we can reduce the growth rate more effectively by taking firmer action collectively,” said George Batchelor, co-founder and director of Edge Health (EH). Analysis by EH shows Britain would require 93,000 beds with ventilators if the coronavirus were to peak without the curve of the epidemic being flattened.”

11. Live coronavirus updates as UK schools ‘close until further notice’ and death toll hits over 100 – Cambridge News (19/03/20), Ella Pengelly

https://www.cambridge-news.co.uk/news/cambridge-news/live-updates-latest-coronavirus-cases-17947123

“Analysis from Edge Health suggested the NHS will face substantial pressures on critical care beds as the outbreak continues. According to their modelling, there will be a shortfall of 2,900 beds in the Midlands at “peak Covid-19 ventilator demand”, while the south west has the fewest critical care beds and will need a 600% increase, or 1,900, to meet demand.”

12. What you need to know about coronavirus this morning as schools prepare to shut and exams are scrapped – Sam Blewett, Jane Kirby, Isaac Ashe (19/03/20)

https://www.leicestermercury.co.uk/news/leicester-news/what-you-need-know-coronavirus-3963467

“Analysis from Edge Health suggested the NHS will face substantial pressures on critical care beds as the outbreak continues.

According to their modelling, there will be a shortfall of 2,900 beds in the Midlands at “peak Covid-19 ventilator demand”.”

13. Coronavirus in UK latest as ventilator shortfall revealed – Devon Live (19/03/20), Neil Shaw

https://www.devonlive.com/news/uk-world-news/coronavirus-uk-latest-ventilator-shortfall-3963479

“Analysis from Edge Health suggested the NHS will face substantial pressures on critical care beds as the outbreak continues. According to their modelling, there will be a shortfall of 2,900 beds in the Midlands at “peak Covid-19 ventilator demand”, while the south west has the fewest critical care beds and will need a 600% increase, or 1,900, to meet demand.”

14. Now the UK faces an oxygen crisis as Boris Johnson tells manufacturers to down tools and make ventilators amid nationwide shortage – The Daily Mail UK (16/03/20), Stephen Matthews, Sam Blanchard

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8116285/Now-UK-faces-OXYGEN-crisis-hospitals-run-hours.html

“Healthcare data analysts, Edge Health, predicted in a model that the number of coronavirus patients needing ventilation could have hit 93,000 by May in a worst-case scenario.”

15. Coronavirus: Eerie photo of empty East Croydon station shows impact of illness – Riley Krause, Sutton & Croydon Guardian (19/03/20)

https://www.yourlocalguardian.co.uk/news/18317635.coronavirus-eerie-photo-empty-east-croydon-station-shows-impact-illness/

“Analysis from Edge Health suggested the NHS will face substantial pressures on critical care beds as the outbreak continues.”

16. Government to bring in emergency coronavirus law giving police power to arrest people as London faces ‘lockdown’ – Simon Smith, Olivia Baron, LancsLive (19/03/20)

https://www.lancs.live/news/lancashire-news/government-bring-emergency-coronavirus-law-17947623

“Analysis from Edge Health suggested the NHS will face substantial pressures on critical care beds as the outbreak continues. According to their modelling, there will be a shortfall of 2,900 beds in the Midlands at “peak Covid-19 ventilator demand”, while the south west has the fewest critical care beds and will need a 600% increase, or 1,900, to meet demand.”

17. Coronavirus: London scrambles to avert ‘armageddon’ as half of nation’s covid-19 patients are in capitalShaun Lintern, The Independent (27/03/20)

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-london-nhs-hospitals-intensive-care-a9427121.html

George Batchelor, director and co-founder of Edge Health said: “The peak in London based on our modelling will be around 5 April, with the numbers in hospital peaking around 8 April and critical care around 15 April. It will get worse before it gets better.”

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Edge Health are a specialist UK healthcare analytics consultancy that use data and insights to improve the delivery of health and care services, so that better outcomes can be delivered more efficiently.